← combinedstructure.com The Disciplined Model

Widening Our View

In the previous section we modeled the combined company as follows: Combined revenues = Alpha revenues + Beta revenues. Combined Expenses = Alpha expenses + Beta expenses − headcount savings + severance. The interest to fund the purchase is another expense.

In our simple example we took two variables into account: the cost of the purchase and the savings and cost associated with headcount reduction (i.e. severance). While employees are a significant factor to consider, there are many others as well.

The math behind that savings estimate scales up into a single equation that applies to any acquisition, however complex:

Net Synergy = Gross Savings + Revenue Synergies
− One-Time Integration Costs − Ongoing Dis-Synergies

Our example so far has only touched one narrow slice of the Gross Savings side of that equation — eliminating redundant headcount in Organization & Workforce — netted against one term on the cost side, severance. A real acquisition draws savings from many more places, each with its own required investment to actually capture it:

Synergy AreaRepresentative Investment Required to Capture It
Organization & WorkforceSeverance, retention bonuses, HR and organizational-design consulting
Technology & SystemsSystem migration, integration consultants, retraining
Data & AnalyticsData warehouse integration, master data management
Facilities & Real EstateLease termination, relocation, renovations
Procurement & VendorsContract renegotiation, supplier transition
Operations & Supply ChainEquipment relocation, logistics redesign
Sales & Commercial OperationsTerritory redesign, CRM changes
Marketing & BrandRebranding, campaign redesign
Finance & AccountingERP and reporting integration
Legal, Compliance & RiskOutside counsel transition, policy harmonization
TaxRestructuring costs, tax advisors
R&D and Product DevelopmentRetention packages, tooling changes
Revenue SynergiesSales training, market-entry investment
Governance & Corporate FunctionsTransaction fees, executive transition
Working Capital ImprovementsAR technology, supplier negotiations
Change Management (cross-cutting)Integration management office, communication, training

Two things are easy to miss in a list like this. First, Revenue Synergies isn't a cost saving at all — it's a separate term in the equation, and typically a much less certain, slower one to realize than anything on the cost side; a bidder who leans on revenue synergies to justify a price is making a different, riskier bet than one who leans on cost synergies. Second, Change Management doesn't produce its own line of savings — it's the overhead of actually capturing every other line above, and it's exactly the kind of cost a hopeful model leaves out.